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Joba Chamberlain’s transition—long speculated and spoken of by
the Yankees brass—has begun. Chamberlain has been extending his pitch
counts in accordance with the greater demand of starting, a fair move.
A lot of people (Skip Bayless called the move “a disaster waiting to
happen”) have bashed the mere idea of doing this mid-season, but for
me, it’s okay. People have raised the concern of getting Joba’s
pitches up interfering with winning ball games; it doesn’t have to be
that way.
If Joba is stinking up the joint, then it’s okay to
pull him and let him finish his pitching in the bullpen. However, after
tonight (Wednesday) it appears that Joba will tentatively be starting
on Tuesday. The Joba Era has begun.
Just in case you haven’t heard, Chamberlain will sit at around 95 MPH
with his fastball, throw a low 90s power slider and a nice tight curve
in the 70s. He has a change up, and it’s a fine pitch, but it’s
absolutely #4 in the repertoire.
What can we expect out of him? Well, for starters, I’d imagine he’ll
out do what Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes were up to. But that wouldn’t
take a whole lot, seeing as they were both producing ERA's greater than
or equal to 8.
Joba may not be stellar out of the box, but I’d bet
a 4.00 ERA is possible. And that would be fine. The Yankees don’t
want Joba to be the ace this year; they just hope he can produce at a
reasonable level, and that is completely reasonable.
*****
Two big prospect debuts this week. Jay Bruce, the young
Center Fielder for the Reds, finally got the call this week after Walt
Jocketty got sick of playing Corey “I’m Like a Guaranteed Out”
Patterson everyday, even though his manager Dusty Baker seems to love
the guy.
The difference in production between Bruce and
Patterson will be staggering, and could spell the difference between
1st and 3rd place in the long run.
As for the second major debut, World, meet Clayton Kershaw.
Kershaw is the best pitching prospect in the minors, and now he’s up in
the bigs. Kershaw debuted Sunday and threw a quality start, and that
could very well be a sign of things to come.
Kershaw has good to great stuff, and it looks a lot
better because he’s left-handed. Hell, he’s 20, and that makes
everything look better too. A lot better.
But as you all know, I am not a Homer Bailey fan
(Why? He sucks) and Kershaw’s minor league numbers—albeit performed at
a younger age—look eerily similar. Lots of K’s (11.76 K/9 in the
minors) and a fairly high walk rate (3.87).
Anyone want to bet he can strike out 12 every game? I wouldn’t. So,
basically, Kershaw looks like a good prospect but not a surefire hall
of famer. Kershaw ain’t no Sandy Koufax version 2.
*****
Speaking of left-handed pitching prospects, this is one that I really like: David Price.
You know who else might like him? Pedro Martinez. They faced off
Wednesday night, and Price won. Now, I wouldn’t take too much stock
into this start for Pay-dro, because of the fact that he was probably
more interested in throwing all of his pitches and getting himself
ready. Anyone doubt that Pedro could slaughter any baseball team for
one start, regardless of level? I don’t.
But that Price kid... he makes my Yankee heart flutter with fear.
If you ask me, “who will be the best pitcher in the
AL East by 2010”, that answer is one of 6 options (or so): Chien-Ming
Wang, Josh Beckett, Scott Kazmir, Joba Chamberlain, Clay Buchholz, or
David Price. (Phil Hughes and Jon Lester are in the fold, but I have
doubts about both).
You can contact Adam Adkins via the writer's Profile or the AHP Staff via the contact form.
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