Going into 2014, I like to look at starting pitchers who can dominate the peripheral stats that focus on swings and misses. Making hitters look silly. Getting bad swings. Getting Ks. The logic is, if they can do this consistently, they must be a pretty good pitcher, and, at minimum, will provide your fantasy team with a good amount of Ks.
The cutoffs I use are: 30 percent outside swing percentage, 20 percent strikeout percentage and 10 percent swinging strike percentage. Or higher. I call it the 30-20-10 test.
Now, excelling at these peripheral stats isn't everything, and of course looking only at the stats will leave out the importance of pitch mix, pitch sequencing and other untold factors. But swinging strike percentage does have a good correlation with strikeout percentage, so there's that. Another caveat: some of these are small sample sizes.
Here's the list:
Here is a list of pitchers that did it in the 2nd half:
I like a lot of these players going into 2014. At minimum, I like to use this list to narrow my focus of players to target, see who is on this list but getting no love in drafts and pounce for a good price. The one guy who was top 5 in each category amongst the 30-20-10 list? Can you guess? It was Danny Salazar. Keep an eye on him.
© Copyright 2012 by mojoomla.com